The hottest six key words predict the trend of con

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Six key words predict the trend of construction machinery industry in 2018

construction machinery is an industry closely related to national policies and infrastructure. Last week, we briefly reviewed the 20 national policies and regulations related to construction machinery issued in 2017, although these regulations were introduced in 2017, But it will affect the future for quite a long time. With the ringing of the New Year bell, we have entered 2018. What factors will affect the development of the construction machinery industry in the new year

I. environmental protection

environmental protection is undoubtedly the top factor affecting the development of construction machinery in 2018. In August 2017, the Ministry of environmental protection, together with the national development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of industry and information technology, jointly issued a notice on printing and distributing the action plan for comprehensive control of air pollution in autumn and winter in Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei and surrounding areas. After comprehensive control in autumn and winter, from October 2017 to March 2018, the average depth of PM2.5 in Beijing will decrease by 25% year-on-year, and the number of days of heavy pollution will decrease by 20% year-on-year; The average concentration of PM2.5 in Tianjin will also decrease by 25%, and the number of days of heavy pollution will also decrease by 20%; The average concentration of PM2.5 in Baoding city will decrease by 22% year-on-year, and the number of days of heavy pollution will decrease by 20% year-on-year; The average concentration of PM2.5 in Langfang City decreased by 18% year-on-year, and the number of days of heavy pollution decreased by 15% year-on-year. It can be predicted that in 2018, the national requirements for environmental protection will be higher, various environmental protection supervisors will be stricter, and environmental protection products will be more popular in the market

the environmental protection tax law of the people's Republic of China has been formally implemented since January 1, 2018. The State Council has clearly stipulated that all environmental protection tax revenues collected by local governments should be owned by local governments. This will have a positive impact on improving the enthusiasm of local governments, reducing local financial pressure and establishing a long-term management mechanism

II. The supply side structural reform display interface can display the experimental method selection interface, experimental parameter selection interface, experimental operation and result display interface and curve display interface

in the report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, it is proposed that to build a modern economic system, we must focus on the real economy, take improving the quality of the supply system as the main direction, and significantly enhance China's economic quality advantage. Accelerate the construction of a manufacturing power, accelerate the development of advanced manufacturing industry, promote the deep integration of Internet, big data, artificial intelligence and the real economy, and cultivate new growth points and form new momentum in the fields of medium - and high-end consumption, innovation leadership, green low-carbon, sharing economy, modern supply chain and human capital services. We will support the optimization and upgrading of traditional industries, accelerate the development of modern service industries, and raise the level in line with international standards

it is an important task for the construction machinery industry to optimize the allocation of stock resources and strive to promote the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing industry through de capacity, de inventory, de leverage, cost reduction and short board repair. In the process of deepening the supply side structural reform, the problem to be solved by the construction machinery industry is not the development speed, but to achieve high-quality and high-level development and progress. With the deepening of the supply side structural reform, the construction of infrastructure such as high-speed rail, roads, bridges, ports and airports has been rapidly promoted, which has also brought a broader space for the development of the construction machinery industry

III. The Belt and Road

according to the data of the General Administration of customs, the import and export trade volume of China's construction machinery from January to October 2017 was US $19.414 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17.7%. Among them, the import amount was USD 3.306 billion, a year-on-year increase of 23.8%; The export value was US $16.108 billion, a year-on-year increase of 17.6%, and the trade surplus was US $12.802 billion, a year-on-year increase of US $1.892 billion

in 2017, the world economy maintained a relatively obvious recovery trend, and the economic growth of major economies was higher than that of 2016. Among them, the economy of the United States and the euro zone grew steadily, the emerging economies in Asia maintained rapid growth, the economic growth of Russian speaking region, Latin America and other economies turned from negative to positive, and the economic growth of the Middle East and North Africa declined due to political factors. The "the Belt and Road" initiative has effectively promoted the overseas export of construction machinery. With the recovery of the global construction machinery market, the United States has increased infrastructure construction, and the overseas layout of domestic construction machinery enterprises has gradually deepened, the overseas market growth is expected to be good in the future. "The the Belt and Road" is still the main growth point of construction machinery, and overseas exports are expected to grow by more than 10% in 2018

modified plastics are favored by home appliance manufacturers because of their light weight, large degree of design freedom, low manufacturing cost and excellent performance. IV. updating the national four emission standards for construction machinery will enter the implementation stage from the second half of 2020 to the first half of 2021. The determination of the implementation time of the fourth national emission will usher in a large number of updates of the third national product. Taking excavators as an example, the service life of construction machinery products is generally about eight years. The last peak period was years. At present, it is at the peak of product upgrading. Although the proportion of replacement demand has increased significantly since 2017, it has become the main source of demand for construction machinery. Since the construction machinery industry will usher in the peak period of replacement of stock equipment in, although the growth rate of downstream investment slows down and the growth rate of total equipment ownership drops, considering that the replacement of stock equipment is at the peak period, the high sales of construction machinery in 2018 is expected to continue

v. intelligence

intelligence has become a word repeatedly mentioned in recent years. Recently, the news that driverless buses in Shenzhen took the lead in running has once again pushed intelligence and driverless to the forefront. In the construction machinery industry, driverless technology is no longer a rare thing, and many enterprises have mastered this technology. Intelligentization is closely linked with "made in China 2025". The realization of intelligentization of construction machinery can not only greatly improve the overall level of made in China, but also reduce labor intensity and operating costs, and help customers better improve their profitability. At present, what we lack is not intelligent technology, but the application and corresponding achievements of intelligent technology. Only by increasing the publicity of intelligence and making its achievements more beneficial to grass-roots users, can we better promote the popularization of intelligence

VI. ppp

on November 17, 2017, the SASAC officially issued document No. 192 "notice on risk control of PPP business of central enterprises", which clearly stated that the total amount of PPP projects should be controlled, and the projects had to be launched blindly according to the cost return; Among the projects that have passed the financial affordability, priority should be given to the development and reform and financial warehousing projects. The controlled scale investment is not allowed to exceed 50% of the net assets of the previous year. Subsidiaries with asset liability ratio higher than 85% or with continuous losses in recent two years are not allowed to invest in PPP projects alone. The PPP liabilities of central enterprises need to be guaranteed by the operating income of local governments. Projects without guarantee may face withdrawal or redesign, and they are not allowed to only finance, not build and operate, etc

as far as PPP is concerned, the central enterprises are the main social capital parties. Now the trend of central enterprises' investment in PPP will be tightened. Generally speaking, PPP will contribute to the standardization of PPP, and there will be more opportunities for private capital. For the future PPP, it will be a change from quantity to quality, which is conducive to the development of the construction machinery industry

some people in the industry predict that the construction machinery industry will maintain a growth rate of about 10%-30% in 2018, and the high growth trend is expected to continue. Among them, the replacement of products and the "the Belt and Road" are still its strong growth points. The construction machinery industry is a highly cyclical industry, which is vulnerable to the slowdown of real estate investment, infrastructure investment and other factors in the long run. In 2018, China's real estate investment may continue to fall, the growth rate of infrastructure investment may slow down, and the margin of macro demand indicators will weaken. However, after the rapid growth in 2017, the anti risk ability of construction machinery will be further enhanced, and the strong market demand brought about by product upgrading, it is entirely possible to continue to maintain a rapid growth momentum in 2018

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